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Mariehamn HJK betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This is a match in which the home factor should not have any relevance, because, while the home team has the worst defense of the competition (with an average of more than 2 goals conceded per match), the visiting team has the most effective attack (average more than 2 goals scored per match). Therefore, the expectation is that the market will be favorable to “more than 2.5 goals” in this match. It is worth mentioning that, in the last match between these teams, the nets were rocked an incredible 7 times: Helsinki beat Mariehamn 6-1.

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Preview
Warning: Match postponed! This preview was written for the original match date: 22.Oct.2020 16:30
Mariehamn and HJK face at Wiklöf Holding Arena, in a match for the 21th round of the Veikkausliiga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 30‑08‑2020, HJK got a home win by (6‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 25‑06‑2019, in a match for the Veikkausliiga, HJK won by (0‑2). The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Mariehamn presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis Mariehamn

After 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 9th position, havinf won 20 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against SJK by (2‑3), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑0) an away match against Honka. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Mariehamn has a record of 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 20 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 10 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

The home team arrives for this match in a terrible phase, as they have not won in this competition for 9 rounds and come from 5 consecutive defeats. Since the last victory, in the 11th round, against the bottom placed team at the time, the IFK Mariehamn has 6 defeats and 3 draws: period in which it fell from the 5th to the 9th position of the table. Mariehamn has 20 points in 20 rounds, with a total of 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses, with 28 goals scored and 38 conceded. This team started the competition very well, managing to enforce their good offensive system, which has the current deputy top scorer in the competition: the Albanian Albion Ademi. However, as we can see with the high number of goals conceded, Mariehamn's attack was overshadowed by the team's serious defensive problems: 22 goals were conceded in just the last 9 matches. Therefore, facing the current leader of the competition (who has the most effective attack), the expectation is that the home team will not be able to enforce the home factor.


Confirmed Lineup: Oskari Forsman, Mikko Sumusalo, Kalle Taimi, Lassi Järvenpää, Aapo Mäenpää, Yanga Baliso, Dmytro Bilonog, Gustav Backaliden, Riku Sjöroos, Niilo Maenpaa, Albion Ademi.

Analysis HJK

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 44 points won, after 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against SJK, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against HIFK, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 11 wins and 4 draws at their stadium, with 39 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches HJK has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 10 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 15 of the last 20 matches for the Veikkausliiga, they have reached half‑time in front in 10 of those 15 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 13 of them. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

The visiting team arrives for this match with 4 wins in a row. Boasting an unbeaten streak that has lasted 7 rounds (5 wins and 2 draws), this team managed to take the lead in the competition and secured, for the first time, a 3-point advantage over KuPS (current champion), with whom it disputed the 1st place for many rounds. Helsinki has 44 points in 20 rounds played: in all, there were 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with an incredible 47 goals scored and only 16 goals conceded. As we can see, this team boasts the best attack of the competition, with 12 goals more than the 2nd most effective attack. Helsinki also has a well-balanced defensive system, which is the 2nd least "leaked". Therefore, and taking into account that they will face a team that has an unstable defensive system (the 2nd worst), the expectation is that the visiting team leaves the field with an expressive victory.


Confirmed Lineup: Antonio Reguero, Miro Tenho, Luis Murillo, Markus Halsti, Daniel O'Shaughnessy, Nikolai Alho, Rasmus Schüller, Riku Riski, Lucas Lingman, David Browne, Roope Riski.
Coach: M. Lehkosuo.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Mariehamn vs HJK match, on 1 November 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Mariehamn vs HJK on 1 November 2020 will be played at Maarianhamina (Mariehamn), Ahvenanmaa (Åland), Wiklöf Holding Arena.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Mariehamn HJK match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by HJK at with 100% of the tips.

 

Veikkausliiga - 2020

  • 100% 132 / 132 Games

  • Home team wins 40.15%
  • Draws 25%
  • Away team wins 34.85%
  • Over 1.5 78.03%
  • Over 2.5 53.03%
  • Over 3.5 34.85%
  • Goals 372
  • Goals /match 2.82
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.36
  • Both teams score 51.52%
  • Goals after 80' 16.67%
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